How the 2025 Federal Election Could Transform Property Prices – And What You Should Do Now

2025 Federal Election

With the federal election just days away (May 3, 2025), property investors are facing a narrow window to act before major policy shifts roll out. As your trusted buyer’s agent and strategic advisor at Ash Buyers Agency, I want to cut through the noise and explain exactly how this election could shape your investment outcomes and why delaying even a few weeks could cost you tens of thousands.

The Election Cliff Notes: What You Need to Know

Labor vs. Coalition: A Razor-Thin Race

Polls currently show Labor ahead 53%-47%, but with shifting momentum, the result may come down to just a few swing seats.

Regardless of the outcome, both parties’ housing policies are expected to push prices upward, with economists forecasting 8-15% growth over the next 12 months.

Interest Rates Are Falling

The RBA is expected to cut rates by 0.50% in May, with further reductions likely this year. That could mean $200K–$300K in extra borrowing capacity for ready buyers.

Demand Is Set to Surge

Labor’s unlimited 5% deposit scheme and the Coalition’s tax-deductible mortgages are about to inject a wave of first-home buyers into the market making auctions more competitive overnight.

Short-Term Impacts (0–12 Months)

  • Price Surges Ahead: Watch for bidding wars in suburbs under $1.5M in Sydney and $950K in Melbourne, as buyers race to beat adjusted thresholds.
  • Rental Crisis Deepens: With vacancy rates at just 1.6% nationally, either reduced migration (Coalition) or continued pressure (Labor) will likely drive rent growth of 10–15% per year.
  • New Build Boom: Coalition tax breaks for new construction will fuel development, but labour shortages mean delays and higher build costs.

Action Tip: Move on growth corridor opportunities now before incentives take effect in June/July.

Long-Term Trends (1–5 Years)

  • Investor Shake-Up: Labor’s social housing initiatives may reduce yields in entry-level suburbs, while the Coalition’s foreign buyer bans could cool luxury segments.
  • Interest Rate Volatility: Even with cuts, rates will stay above pre-COVID norms. Positive cash flow assets will become essential in managing borrowing costs.

Smart Strategy: Focus on dual-income properties (rental + development potential) in suburbs with approved infrastructure plans.

Why You Can’t Afford to Wait

  • As demand surges and supply constraints remain, the gap between today’s prices and next quarter’s valuations could be significant. Consider this:
    A property worth $700K today could hit $770K by December, a potential $70K loss if you wait.

 

  • Every 0.25% rate cut adds ~$15K in borrowing power, but prices rise faster than savings can catch up.

Ash Buyers Agency’s Proven 5-Step Acquisition System

We don’t just buy properties, we design low-risk, high-growth portfolios with precision strategy and deep local knowledge.

1. Data-Led Opportunity Mapping

We analyse 104+ data points including zoning changes, infrastructure approvals, and demographic shifts to spot areas 3–18 months before major growth.
Example: We identified Logan Reserve (QLD) 8 months before the council approved the $1.2B Health Hub. Clients secured homes at $580K now valued over $720K.

2. Off-Market Deal Access

Our 3200+ agent network gives you access to exclusive, unlisted opportunities. In 2024, 83% of our purchases were off-market, averaging 7.6% below market value.
Current Deal: 3 adjoining blocks in Central Coast (NSW)
💰 Purchase: $800k → Expected Gross Realisation valuation on completion: $2.45M+ → Expected Profit $450k

3. Forensic Due Diligence

Every property we shortlist undergoes:

  • 30-year climate modelling (flood/fire risk)
  • Licensed build inspections
  • 10 year on year cash flow forecast and vacancy rate analysis

4. Tactical Negotiation

We average 6.8% price reductions by leveraging:

  • Vendor motivation signals (e.g., deceased estates, divorces)
  • Conditional offers (subject to DA, finance, B&P, Insurance etc.)

Recent Win: Secured a standalone house in QLD for $705k using urgency-based negotiation and secured 75k under market value.

5. Portfolio Performance Boost

Post-purchase, we help you extract more value:

  • Renovation ROI Plans (e.g., $15K add another bathroom → $140K uplift)
  • Tax depreciation schedules (average $11K/year savings)
  • Exit modelling (hold, subdivide & sell, or develop strategies)

This Week Is Critical, Here’s Why.

⏰ Deadline 1: May 5 – Final pre-election auction weekend

Deadline 2: May 10 – Last chance to lock in lending before banks tighten post-election
Case Study:

Final pre-election auction weekend

Your Next Step

Text Ankit Shah at +61 434 111 200 to book your 15-minute private strategy call.

The next 10 days could define your next 10 years in property. Act now before the market shifts beyond reach.

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